歐洲央行下調經濟預期,但通脹預期不變
關鍵字:歐洲央行下調經濟預期
3月12日晚,歐洲央行行長拉加德表示當前經濟前景高度不確定,並下調經濟增速預期,但通脹預期則維持不變。同時經濟增速將很塊恢復,要求各國大規模刺激經濟發展,歐元對美元短線出現激烈震盪。
拉加德稱,不確定性對投資造成負面影響,新冠病毒蔓延加劇了市場波動,對經濟產生很大影響。
拉加德強調,各國需要大規模的刺激,需要推行有魄力且協調的財政舉措,歐洲央行強力支持歐元區政府的決定。
歐洲央行預計,2020年GDP增速0.8%,此前為1.1%;預計2021年GDP增速1.3%,此前為1.4%;維持2022年GDP增速1.4%不變
歐洲央行維持未來三年通脹預期不變:2020年通脹預期1.1%;2021年通脹預期為1.4%;2022年為1.6%
人們擔心疫情及其引發的金融市場恐慌,可能很快就演變為經濟衰退,給歐元區苦苦掙扎的經濟造成又一重擊。這場危機是歐洲央行行長拉加德的一次大考,11月剛上任的她,自稱是貨幣政策的“睿智貓頭鷹”。
雖然有心協助,但實施了接近10年的刺激政策後,歐洲央行手頭威力最強的武器已經用光。利率已位於紀錄低位元、價值2.6萬億歐元的多數政府公債也被其吸納殆盡,而且提供免費現金以維持銀行業放貸也已施行多年。
據瞭解情況的消息人士透露,歐盟和大型銀行正在研究一項數億歐元的企業貸款計畫,以幫助苦於應對新冠全球公共衛生事件衝擊的歐洲企業獲得低成本貸款,該計畫有望在幾天內公佈。
歐盟執委會的一位發言人說:“幫助遭受重創的企業……提供短期流動性是歐盟應對新冠全球公共衛生事件危機的經濟政策的關鍵部分。”他表示,正在與歐洲投資銀行研究可以立即實施應對全球公共衛生事件的方案。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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