市場對黃金交易的興趣持續增加
關鍵字：市場對黃金興趣增加
2月26日，現貨黃金價格從本周低位開始反彈，曾一度回升近20美元，市場對公共衛生事件的擔憂提高了對央行降息的預期，市場資金不斷流入黃金市場以求避險，表明投資者對黃金的興趣持續增加。
除了避險需求，越來越多的人預期增長將因疫情擴散而減緩且美聯儲將採取行動。市場上充斥著利多消息。我認為我們看到一些參與者在這個水準上進行獲利了結…尤其是多頭。
目前金價在100小時均線1646.79附近波動，上看1652.93，若突破該水準則將進一步走高；下方支撐位在1635.16，若現貨黃金跌破該水準則可能導致投資者更為激進地賣出，雙底形態位於1625水準。
今年上半年黃金市場有諸多支撐，將能觸及1700美元/盎司大關。該行將三個月金價預期從1550上調至1650水準。不過下半年金價有下行修正的風險。全球經濟增長的復蘇以及實際利率從負值回升會使得金價承壓，在這種情況下，黃金會有下行風險。
近期市場的大量避險情緒之下，黃金和美元指數一同走高，而在美股此前的強勁表現下，黃金也同樣上漲；在市場充斥著不確定性的情況下，黃金是極佳的對沖風險和多樣化選擇，尤其在實際利率處在負值的情況下。因此上半年黃金市場將受到支撐。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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