全球經濟擔憂仍在,金價的跌勢有限
關鍵字:全球經濟擔憂仍在
2月25日,金價出現走低,但隨後在晚間時分,金價有所回升,並出現一定的震盪,由於金價突破新高位後投資者離場獲利引發金價下跌,但全球公共衛生事件引發的憂慮讓市場感到焦慮。
大田環球指出,在接近1700美元/盎司關口後,投資者必然會選擇獲利了結,但我們認為在觸及1800大關之前沒必要;持有黃金的理由在迅速增加,各國央行都可能因此做出反應。
疫情在中國以外快速擴散加劇了人們對其全球經濟影響的擔憂,促使部分人押注美聯儲將被迫降息,以緩解疫情帶來的打擊。美國10年期國債收益率紐市盤中跌至歷史新低的1.305%,增強了關於央行降息的討論。
著疫情擴散到其他國家和地區,對增長造成的影響或將持續到4月,金價可能會升至每盎司1650-1700美元的水準。
以歐元計價的黃金和以英鎊計價的黃金雙雙從週一觸及的紀錄高位回落。目前這個週期內,所有貨幣計金價都將創下新高。今年以來美元計金價已經上漲了近10%,如果再漲13%左右,就意味著突破2011年的歷史頂部水準。黃金和美元在大部分時候處在負相關關係中,即黃金和美元此消彼長,但近期這一關係被打破,黃金和美元指數一同走高。在這種情況下,黃金的漲勢更被看好。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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