金價反彈創新高，全球製造業並不樂觀
關鍵字：金價反彈
12月3日，現貨黃金刷新高位，原因在於美國製造業連續猥瑣，而美國開闢貿易摩擦新戰線的行為可能讓美聯儲陷入新的困境。目前全球製造業正在面臨國內庫存膨脹，利潤增加放緩以及需求疲弱的情況，市場將出現新一輪的避險情緒。
製造業的持續萎縮可能會讓美聯儲陷入艱難的境地。美聯儲此前暗示，將暫停7月開啟的本輪寬鬆週期。政策前景不確定性高企，也提升了市場避險情緒。
中美尚未達成第一階段貿易協議——緩解長達17個月的貿易對峙，美國又開始對其他國家的商品徵收更多關稅。投資者擔心，這將對全球經濟前景構成額外風險，製造業的噩夢遠遠沒有結束。
更惡劣的是，美國週一表示計畫對24億美元進口自法國的香檳、手提包、乳酪和其他產品徵收最高100%的懲罰性關稅。此前美國得出結論認為，法國新的數字服務稅將損及美國科技公司。
今年10月，WTO裁決美國在訴空客非法補貼案中勝出，允許美國對每年價值75億美元的歐盟輸美商品加征關稅。美國隨後對大部分空客飛機，以及從單一麥芽威士卡到乳酪等歐盟輸美商品加征部分關稅。
這是這場規模創紀錄的大西洋兩岸貿易糾紛的最新進展，期間美歐雙方均指控對方的飛機製造商獲得政府非法補貼。WTO將於明年就歐盟訴波音非法補貼案做出裁決，歐盟要求對美國輸歐商品加征報復性關稅。
美歐雙方官員都曾表示支持通過磋商來解決貿易問題，但同時又指責對方沒有認真對待通過磋商解決問題的前景。全球製造業正面臨著國內庫存膨脹、利潤增長放緩和海外需求疲弱等挑戰。隨著美歐之間經貿矛盾的激化，黃金多頭似乎找到了新的靠山。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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