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疫情陰霾持續,美元黃金油價持續走低

週一(12月20日)美元走低,大宗商品相關貨幣下跌,因市場對疫情的經濟影響感到擔憂,抑制了風險偏好,並使出口價格下降。金價走低,由於擔心收緊限制措施,全球股市回落,但流入黃金的避險資金流似乎停滯。美油盤中一度跌逾6%,但收盤脫離盤中低點,歐洲和美國的Omicron感染病例激增,引發了投資者對新限制措施可能會削弱燃料需求的擔憂。

商品收盤方面,COMEX 2月黃金期貨收跌0.6%,報1794.60美元/盎司。WTI 1月原油期貨到期交割日收跌2.63美元,跌幅3.71%,報68.23美元/桶;WTI 2月原油期貨收跌2.98%,報68.61美元/桶;布倫特2月原油期貨收3.00美元,跌幅4.08%,報71.52美元/桶。

美股收盤情況:標普500指數下跌1.1%,報4568.02點;道瓊斯工業平均指數下跌1.2%,報34932.16點;納斯達克綜合指數下跌1.2%,報14980.94點;納斯達克100指數下跌1.1%,報15627.64點;羅素2000指數下跌1.6%,報2139.875點。

美股三連跌,因為拜登的經濟議程遇阻,並且新冠變異毒株omicron擴散,打擊了市場情緒。標普500指數創下9月末以來最大三天跌幅,金融和原材料類股領跌。交易員稱,假期前夕成交量下降也加劇了市場跌勢。

悲觀情緒蔓延整個金融市場,油價創本月最大單日跌幅,工業金屬也大多下跌。

貴金屬與原油

金價週一在震盪交投中下跌,現貨黃金尾盤收於1790關口附近,投資者試圖衡量Omicron感染病例飆升的影響,以及美聯儲加息對遏制通脹急升能有多大效果。

由於擔心收緊限制措施,全球股市回落,但流入黃金的避險資金流似乎停滯;美元走低也幾乎沒有給金價帶來支撐。這與上周五形成了鮮明對比,當時Omicron相關擔憂將金價推至11月26日以來最高。

美油尾盤跌逾2%,盤中一度暴跌6.5%觸及66.12美元/桶,對omicron病毒變種肆虐和拜登經濟計畫命運多舛的擔憂打擊了市場人氣。悲觀情緒蔓延整個金融市場,因為病毒感染病例激增導致各地紛紛限制出行。隨著參議員Joe Manchin的意外反水打亂了拜登2萬億美元經濟議程,美國經濟信心受到打擊。

石油市場結構也顯示出疲軟跡象。1月WTI期貨較2月合約貼水,因omicron黯淡了近期需求前景。布倫特的近月價差也出現看跌的期貨升水模式。

近幾周來石油價格一直波動,因omicron對需求的潛在影響存在矛盾信號。隨著亞洲消費疲軟以及央行轉向收緊貨幣政策以遏制通脹,看跌氣氛繼續加強。而隨著今年即將結束,進入假日模式,交易量減少可能加劇價格波動。


本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬

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