避險模式開啓，歐元兌美元跌勢恐難扭轉
周四，美國勞工部公布的截至8月13日當周，美國首次申請失業救濟人數意外改善，至34.8萬人。上周首次申請失業金的人數創下疫情爆發以來的新低，顯示就業市場在進入秋季之前正在改善。歐元兌美元雖然修正了超賣狀況，但風險仍偏向下行。
市場進入避險模式，股指下行美元獲益
歐元兌美元從日內2021年的新低1.1666小幅回升，目前交易在1.1700下方。周三公布的聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)會議紀要顯示，美國政策制定者加大了縮減購債規模的討論力度，投資者押注美聯儲將在在9月傑克遜霍爾(Jackson Hole)宣布縮減購債規模。此後，金融市場處于避險模式。
在華爾街開盤前，歐洲股指出現下跌，美國股指期貨跌至8月份最低水平。與此同時，對安全資産的需求推高了美國國債的價格，美債收益率下行。
美國數據喜憂參半，8月費城聯儲制造業調查收縮至19.4人，低于預期，而截至8月13日當周首次申請失業救濟人數意外改善，至34.8萬人。日內早些時候，歐盟公布了6月份的經常賬戶，經季節性調整後的盈余為218億歐元。
美指或有突破94.00的可能
目前，美元指數下一個目標出現在94.00水平。在經曆了前一交易日的波動後，美元指數在避險情緒的推動下重拾漲勢，一度觸及93.50，創下2021年新高。
不過進一步的上行現在可能面臨一些阻力，因為根據每日相對強弱指數，美指超買區域更近了，美元可能需要從量化寬松縮減中獲得一些支撐。與此同時，從更廣泛的角度來看，只要美元指數在200日移動均線上方，美元的積極立場預計將保持不變
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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