金價高價跳水,背後原因是美債收益率升高!
金價週一(4月19日)從逾七周高位回落,因美國國債收益率上揚,打壓非收益黃金的吸引力,並抵消美元走軟的支撐。
現貨黃金收報1771.43美元/盎司,下跌5.08美元或0.29%,盤中觸及2月25日以來的最高水準1790.14美元/盎司,最低觸及1766.65美元/盎司。上周,現貨黃金32.63美元或1.87%。
6月黃金期貨收跌0.5%,報1770.60美元/盎司。
最活躍黃金期貨合約北京時間4月19日21:18一分鐘內買賣盤面瞬間成交2584手,交易合約總價值4.57億美元。
“我們仍可能看到美國利率逐漸上升,收益率曲線逐漸變陡,這應會令黃金失去一些動能。”
基準10年期國債收益率在上周觸及數周低點後升至1.6%以上。
金價今年迄今已下跌逾6%,主要受美國國債收益率飆升的影響。但美元走軟限制了金價的跌勢,美元兌主要競對貨幣的匯率跌至逾六周低點。
“現貨市場也提供了良好支撐,在金價跌破1700美元/盎司時起到了緩衝作用。”
“印度和中國的需求已從低位反彈,各國央行在2月份轉向淨買入。”
據五位知情人士透露,作為全球最大的黃金消費國,中國已允許國內外銀行大量進口黃金。
基本面利多因素
1.美元指數週一收跌,報91.09,跌幅0.49%,盤中一度觸及六周以來的最低水準91.04,最高觸及91.75。美元下跌令以美元計價的黃金受到支撐。
2.五位知情人士表示,全球最大的黃金消費國中國已允許國內外銀行大量進口黃金。四名消息人士稱,中國政府批准後,約有150噸黃金(按目前價格計算,價值85億美元)將運往中國。此外,一位印度政府消息人士表示,印度對黃金的需求也已從大流行引發的暴跌中反彈,3月進口量達到創紀錄的160噸。實物需求的增加可能會提振金價。
基本面利空因素
1.週一,基準10年期美國國債收益率上漲4個基點至1.561%。美國國債收益率上漲令黃金承壓。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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