美聯儲票委:貿易戰不足為懼
美國克利夫蘭聯儲主席梅斯特表示:近期貿易戰的緊張局勢尚未導致她對美國經濟的樂觀看法,儘管貿易戰的不確定性不會很快得到解決。總體而言,梅斯特表示支持今年和明年進一步逐漸加息。
美國克利夫蘭聯儲主席梅斯特(Loretta Mester)週一(3月26日)表示:近期貿易戰的緊張局勢尚未導致她對美國經濟的樂觀看法。她說:“我正在監測貿易的發展,雖然我認為它們可能構成一定的風險,但這並沒有改變我對整體經濟(向好)的看法。”
特朗普政府最近宣佈了對多個國家的高關稅計畫,不過也豁免了一部分國家關於鋼和鐵的高關稅。她說,貿易的不確定性不會很快得到解決。
總體而言,梅斯特表示支持今年和明年進一步逐漸加息。
她說:“我們想留點時間讓通脹達到目標水準;這就意味著我們的加息道路不能太陡峭(而是應該漸進)。”
梅斯特表示,勞動力市場的緊張程度很難說。她表示,她將自然失業率的預期下調了25個基點到4.5%,下調的部分原因是工資水準和通脹保持溫和。
上周,美聯儲將目標利率範圍上調了25個百分點,提高至1.5%-1.75%,這是自2015年12月以來政策利率第六次小幅上調。美聯儲官員們制定了一個緩慢但穩步上調利率的計畫——到2020年將聯邦基金利率提升至3.4%。
作為今年美聯儲利率委員會的票委,梅斯特預計今年和明年經濟增速將達到2.5%以上。
她發言表示:“今年正是經濟發展的又一個好年頭,而貨幣政策制定者面臨的任務就是根據這個健康的經濟調整政策,這樣經濟的擴張才可持續。”
她還補充道,特朗普減稅和增加聯邦支出預計在未來幾年促進經濟增長0.5個百分點,但增長仍然存在“上行風險”——這些措施的影響可能會過度。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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