现货黄金上涨 需谨防冲高回落风险
关键字：本日现货黄金行情
7月9日欧洲时段前，国际现货黄金价格日间维持窄幅整理行情，欧盘时段后金价轻微回升，在新一轮上行空间的1320上方盘整，直到纽盘收市后，国际金价火速上涨至1330美元上方，最高价录得1332.71美元/盎司，由于美联储公布的6月会议纪要并没给市场超出预期的惊喜，促进黄金多头的上攻动力，同时产生空头回补，与此同时，金价受益于中东局势的战局混乱，增加了黄金的避险买盘，金价日收1327.5美元/盎司，较日内开盘价上涨了8.33美元。
关注印度方面的预算案，市场预计印度进口黄金的关税从现在的10%下调至6%，因新任印度总统莫迪曾暗示放松黄金的进口限制，这或能恢复印度当地的实物黄金需求，从前印度采取10%的黄金进口关税额，大幅降低了印度该国的黄金进口，2013年4季度该国黄金进口下降了16.0%,2014年1季度下降了26.0%。大机构普遍对印度放宽黄金进口税的预设，持有温和态度，认为印度放宽了当地黄金的进口关税，实物黄金需求将逐渐增加。
从伦敦金技术分析上看，日线图上金价K线于本周三开出十字星后，继昨日开出阳烛，本日有望延续昨日的升势，均线系统持多头排列，附图MACD指标中的红柱有所增长，KDJ三线向上运行发出行情上涨信号，金价在上穿1325前期阻力位后，顺利打开上行空间直试1330上方。从周线图上看，看涨的格局依旧不变，料在利好消息面的基础上，金价获得上行动能，本日需谨防因获利回吐产生的回调风险，大田贵金属建议投资者不要盲目追多，本日关键支撑位1325,1318，关键阻力位1332,1338。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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