欧元区忧虑不断 现货黄金有望受益
关键字:本日现货黄金行情
本日欧市早盘时段,国际现货黄金在亚市尾盘录得轻微跌幅后,回归胶着的格局,于1321-1324区间整理,受欧央行官员和美联储官员发话观点的不一致,市场投资情绪变得谨慎,美元和美股均出现下滑,另外欧元区的经济数据低迷,仍能引发市场的避险情绪,致使金市出现避险买盘,伦敦金价于欧市开盘后,走势趋于温和上涨,涨幅超0.5%。
关注欧元区银行业的状况,自上周末奥地利最大的银行奥地利第一储蓄银行出现股价暴跌,并拖累欧洲银行股板块整体下跌后,过去三个交易日欧洲股市银行板块已累计下滑超过6%,跌至5个月低点,创13个月最大跌幅,因受匈牙利和罗马尼亚等东欧业务的拖累。另外德国商业银行受到美国监管机构的调查,同时其行被怀疑与被美国列入黑名单的国家进行交易。
事实上,欧元区的银行业正面临困境,银行股票的收益下跌,导致投资者逃离欧洲债市,这将引发欧债危机的风险,因融资成本太高所致,然而欧央行行长并未透露何时启动欧洲量化宽松计划的具体实施,仅使用长期再融资手段,拯救欧元区银行业只能是“杯水车薪”。对于黄金价格而言,无论欧元区是否实施量化宽松政策,均对其造成利好:若欧元区迟迟未决定货币宽松的量化措施,欧元区的避险情绪将越加强烈,黄金将散发避险光芒;若欧央行迫于经济压力实施量化宽松,从长期来看,宽松的货币环境将体现黄金的抗通胀能力。
技术分析,日线图上,国际金价K线已突破上方的5日均线,却在1325一线受阻,附图指标MACD快慢线趋向粘合,虽然红色动能柱缩减,而快慢线继续平稳地在0轴上方运行,金价下方受到5日均线和布林中轨的双重支撑,反映下方多头蓄势较强。
日内支撑位:1315 1310 1306
日内阻力位:1325 1332 1338
短时来看,国际金价上方1325一线将是关键,若突破1325,金价将打开上行空间并测试1330,小时图上,KDJ三线在超买区运行后冲高回落,附图指标MACD快慢线在0轴上方向上运行,红烛放量缩减,这反映金价运行继续受技术盘面的高抛低吸策略而选择方向。本日大田贵金属建议投资者可在1310位置布局多单,做空者可在1326布局空单,止盈6-7美元,止损5-6美元。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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