以巴冲突导致避险资金流入现货黄金
关键字:现货黄金走势分析
周四欧洲盘前,国际现货黄金仍然维持在1330下方震荡盘整,虽然在亚市早盘当中,现货黄金价格曾经出现两次尝试上攻1330上方压力点位,但是基本都是失败而回,而在以色列和巴勒斯坦的冲突越演越烈的情况下,现货黄金在避险资金的持续流入下,有望再度打开上行空间。
以色列当地时间8日发动旨在针对加沙地区武装人员的袭击。当地紧急部门官员称,空袭已造成27人死亡,超过100人受伤,这轮巴以冲突是2012年加沙战事之后规模最大的一次冲突。以色列空军不间断地对加沙地带实施空袭,巴勒斯坦安全人员说空袭次数多达120次。据以军统计,自6月12日3名犹太青年被绑架并杀害以来,以色列已遭到240多枚来自加沙地带的火箭弹和迫击炮弹袭击。以军也对加沙地带展开轰炸。
而另一方面伊拉克局势还未平息,在伊拉克问题还未解决的情况下,美国是否再次插足值得关注。但无可否认的是,近期由乌克兰,伊拉克,乃至现在的以色列和巴勒斯坦的军事冲突,均促使市场的避险情绪升温,而资金也因为避险需求而持续流入黄金市场当中,对金价构成提振。
技术分析:由伦敦金技术分析上发现,伦敦金现正处於1330压力位置下方,而若该位置能够顺利通过,则黄金将会打开新的上行通道。而由小时图上看,黄金自回调1313位置后,开始触底反弹,该反弹近期延续上行,并构成了上行通道,而该上行通道的下轨则位于1326一线当中,这也是日内的关键单位,若黄金晚间出现下行并跌破1326支撑,则黄金很可能在短期内会出现一波小幅回调。
本日支撑位:1326 1323 1318
本日压力位:1330 1333 1338
由早盘的冲高回落,直到欧洲盘前,现货黄金价格仍然未能顺利冲上1330上方位置,可见该位置压力较大,因此在久攻不下的情况下,不排除黄金会出现日内回调的走势,建议炒黄金的投资者可待黄金跌破1326位置后适当布局空单,盈利目标1320。而若黄金能够顺利突破1333的近期高点,则可以顺势做多,盈利目标1338.
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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