王垣鑫：1800整数大关压力强劲，金价高位持续承压
上周五早间亚盘开盘后金价于1786附近位置受支撑后短暂走高至1794附近，但该位置的压力效果明显，价格承压后回落跌破日内起涨点，不过前低1785附近支撑依然有效，价格短暂测试后美盘时段发力向上大幅拉涨，收盘前最高一度触及1802附近位置。截至目前来看，价格并未能成功取得突破，现阶段正处于回落调整的过程当中。
美国进口物价七个月来首降
美国7月进口物价七个月来首次下降，受助于美元走强以及燃料和非燃料成本下降，与此同时，8月消费者一年通胀预期下降，这是物价压力可能已经触顶的最新迹象。美国劳工部上周五数据显示，不包括关税的进口物价在6月上涨0.3%之后，7月下降1.4%。这是自2020年4月以来的最大月度降幅，并超过了经济学家预期的下降1.0%。在截至7月的12个月中，进口物价上涨8.8%，为连续第四个月同比涨幅下降，6月涨幅为10.7%。
美债收益率下跌
较长期美国国债收益率上周五下跌，投资者评估通胀明显放缓是否会让美联储放慢加息步伐。分析认为，上周五的数据带来了一些希望，即最糟糕的通胀急升可能已经过去。尽管如此，许多分析师和投资者表示，需要更多证据，才能确定美联储政策可能会受到什么样的影响。上周五10年期美债收益率 下跌4个基点，至2.849%，上周四达到2.902%的7月22 日以来最高。两年期美债收益率上升2个基点，至3.251%。两年/10年期公债收益率差报负41个基点，上周三触及负56个基点，为2000年以来最严重倒置。这段曲线倒置被视为一个可靠的指标，表明12-18个月后将出现衰退。
上周五金价再度于日线MA10均线支撑附近反弹，录得带下影线的阳线K线形态。虽然日线MA10均线的支撑效果依然有效，MACD指标双线也在金叉过程当中，但截至目前为止价格并未能成功突破前高压制，大级别上行走势开始有放缓迹象，下方需继续关注日线MA10均线的支撑效果。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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