王垣鑫：元旦新年假期前夕，黄金宽幅震荡争夺1800
本周金价宽幅震荡于1790-1820区间内，多空双方仍有争夺1800整数关口的迹象。昨日金价虽然在亚盘时段于1805附近出现较大幅度回落，但欧盘开盘后价格回踩1796后持续反弹并突破亚盘高点压力位置，截至目前为止最高一度触及1819一线位置，未能有效突破前高1820一线的压制。
多方因素利好推动美元
多种支撑因素的组合帮助美元兑日元延续了本月初以来的上行趋势，并在周四上半段交易中获得牵引力。金融市场的风险情绪继续打压避险日元，并推动美元兑日元对走强。奥密克戎新冠病毒变体传播的影响仍在继续，第三天全球报告的病例超过100万例。昨天，世界各地报告了161万例新病例。然而，有迹象表明，Omicron变种可能没有人们担心的那么严重，由此引发的乐观情绪帮助抵消了人们对新冠肺炎病例持续激增的经济影响的担忧。并提振了投资者对高风险资产的胃口，从最近股市牛市的延续可以明显看出这一点。
美国国债收益率攀升
美国长期国债收益率周中攀升，此前财政部标售560亿美元七年期公债，需求疲软，尽管奥密克戎变种迅速蔓延，但风险情绪依然强劲。此轮七年期国债标售的得标利率为1.48%，比标售前二级市场的水平高出约2个基点。财政部周一标售的560亿美元两年期公债和周二标售的570亿美元五年期公债需求也疲软。本周的标售受流动性不佳影响，许多交易员和投资者在圣诞节和新年假期之间离场。投资者对明年公债收益率将上升保持警惕，预计美联储最早将于5月开始加息。
在周中金价大幅度会落后，昨日基本以震荡反弹走势为主，目前日线MACD指标双线继续维持金叉向上运行，价格亦再度站上日线MA5均线上方。不过由于均线的支撑效果仍未得到确认，加上前高1820一线位置仍未取得突破，后市多头是否能顺利延续仍是未知数，所以短时间内可以先留意日线MA5均线的支撑有效性。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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