熊傲君：金价一度创出一个月新高，但可惜依然难以延续
关键词：现货黄金上涨，美联储加息预期
导语：昨日黄金价格方面的走势延续不错的表现，继上周重回1800大关后，本周保持着高位震荡，并且在昨晚美盘时段成功突破近一个多月的新高，眼看要打开上方更大的空间之际，价格始终无法企稳顶底转换线，最终重新出现回落，把上涨的幅度基本悉数补回，对于短期的多头来说，依然是比较可惜的局面。
美股全线回落释放资金
近期的市场基本面相对来说比较平淡，因为当前是圣诞假期叠加元旦假期的时间点，所以投资者的心态也会先保持谨慎为主，来年再重新作战。因此，本周的关注点可能更加多摆在资产市场本身的运行走势为主，例如昨晚的美股出现了回落，止住了连续上涨的势头，这也会释放出一定的资金流动性，从而让黄金市场受益。
美国股市止步四连涨，大型科技股领跌，全球单日公共卫生事件刷新纪录后，投资者重新评估经济复苏的前景。标普500指数周二收低，在周一创下今年以来第69个收盘纪录新高后回落。科技股主导的纳斯达克100指数在英伟达、苹果和Alphabet拖累下止步四连涨。道琼斯工业平均指数连续第五个交易日收高，得益于迪士尼和波音上涨。
美联储预期仍然存在施压
尽管黄金价格受到美股回落的利好下，一度出现了不错的上涨势头，不过考虑到美联储方面依然存在较大的加息预期，所以上方的空间受到了极大限制，而且美元指数逐步企稳后开始反弹，这也导致了金价在美盘后段的重新下滑，最终功亏一篑。在美联储的鹰派作风还在挥发之际，相信黄金多头还需要一定的时间等待。
美元周二在淡静交投中小幅走高，得益于避险资金流，美元在2021年上涨了近7%，得益于人们愈发预期美联储将比其他央行更早加息。联邦基金利率期货走势显示市场认为3月第一次加息25个基点的可能性高于50%，随着经济接近实现充分就业且通胀继续急升， 2022年底之前进行三次每次25个基点的加息或已铺平道路。
当前的黄金价格暂时保持高位震荡为主，近期的多头虽然有复苏的继续，但未有更明显的区间突破之前，依然不能够过于乐观，毕竟加息预期还是摆在眼前，虽然不意味着会大跌，不过想要大涨难度也较大，除非通胀和就业方面持续恶化，这就需要等待更加充分的线索才能判断，交易上本周宜保持高抛低吸思路为主。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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