王垣鑫:经济担忧再起,黄金多头激涨
昨日金价探低回升,亚盘及欧盘早段时间金价维持震荡走势,在触及1795一线位置压力后,金价开始不断走低,日内最低到达1781附近位置随后美盘出现大幅反弹。在突破1800整数关口后,金价最高上探至1808附近,虽然未能一举突破1810一线但目前价格仍在1800上方运行。
美国众议院民主党公布增税方案
美国众议院民主党人周一公布了一揽子增税方案,但最高税率与总统拜登的3.5万亿美元的经济议程的要求有些出入。民主党提议把企业税上限从21%提高到26.5%,低于拜登要求的28%。资本利得税上限从20%提高到25%,低于拜登要求的39.6%。 如果算上对高收入者征收3.8%的医疗保险附加税,最高资本利得税将达到28.8%。
美国8月未季调CPI年率录得5.3%
8月美国CPI涨幅低于预期,表明部分通胀上行压力开始减弱。面对物资短缺、运输瓶颈和招聘困难导致的成本压力不断上升,企业一直在提高消费品和服务的价格。虽然与经济重新开放相关的价格升势开始减弱,但供应链紧张可能会持续到2022年,并使通胀率保持高位。零部件短缺导致生产成本上升,给生产造成制约。与此同时,飓风艾达可能加剧疫情相关的供应链瓶颈以及价格压力。
昨日金价走低后大幅反弹,录得带下影线的阳线K线形态,虽然目前价格暂时重新回到了1800整数关口的上方,但MACD指标双线拐头仍未出现金叉信号,暗示趋势是否已经成功扭转还没有定论。日内需要留意1800整数关口的防守情况,以及MA5均线回踩确认支撑的有效性。
另外,昨日晚间价格大幅拉升突破震荡区间顶部压力,4小时级别中MACD指标双线也重新发出金叉信号并向上打开,表示短时间内价格多头或有进一步发力的可能,但目前价格处于回调过程当中,若不能成功站稳震荡区间顶部或1800一线位置支撑的话,不排除后市有重新回落至震荡区间里面的可能。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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