王垣鑫：金价反弹惨遭均线压制，反弹势头一再受阻
虽然上周金价在低位出现大幅度的反弹走势，在周线级别上录得了一根大实体的阳线，但本周多头并没有取得进一步的战果，价格一直被承压在周线MA5均线下方，后市金价是进一步反弹还是继续被周线均线所压制，是目前盘面留给投资者最大的悬念。
美联储公布会议纪要
美联储公布的会议纪要显示，大多数成员认为在2021年减码QE可能是适宜的。但其他几人2022年减码QE才合理；几名联储官员对准备相对迅速地减码QE持审慎态度；另外几人认为未来一段时间可能都不会减码QE。与会者讨论资产购买，包括朝着充分就业和物价稳定取得进展。大多数成员认为潜在的减码抵押贷款支持证券和减码美国国债是有益的；他们还考虑经济条件满足时如何调整资产购买。部分与会者认为减码QE将取决于经济形势，减码QE的行动与加息的时间点无关。数名联储官员表示，如果新冠肺炎变异毒株在美国的传播情况恶化，他们恐怕会改变对货币政策的立场。另外，与会者们感觉近期物价数据可能是暂时性的。
卡什卡利关注疫情传播情况
美国明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利认为，就美联储后续讨论何时开始开始减码QE而言，新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株在美国的传播情况“将显得尤为重要”。如果该毒株继续在美国大范围传播，继续迫使美国民众对重返就业市场持谨慎态度、或者如果其造成企业招聘放缓，至少我本人会反思先前“是时候减码QE了”的想法，届时，FOMC应当略微更加保持耐心。
我们从行情上看的话，昨日金价探低回升录得带上下影线的K线，虽然目前金价仍在MA5均线支撑上方运行，MACD指标双线也仍在维持金叉运行状态，但价格已经连续三天没出现新高不利于后市多头的进一步延续。小级别方面，金价自本周初于1795一线位置承压后一直维持高位震荡回落，虽然目前4HMACD指标双线仍在死叉向下运行的过程当中，但空头力度却有放缓的迹象。下方1775一线位置经多次测试后暂时未能取得进一步突破，短时间内方向并不明朗，建议继续留意1775-1795区间的震荡及后市突破情况。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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