王垣鑫：金价高位回落进行时，关注大级别支撑能否生效
关键词：现货黄金，美国就业
上周现货黄金以高位回落为主旋律，金价在1900上方高位短暂停留后开启回落，周四出现周内最大幅度接近45美元。虽然在周五金价触及下方1856一线位置后大幅反弹回1890上方，但本周开盘后金价有承压并进一步延续高位回落走势的迹象。
美国5月新增就业55.9万
美国劳工部4日发布数据称，美国5月非农部门新增就业岗位55.9万个，失业率环比下降0.3个百分点，为5.8%。在疫苗接种率提高、防疫限制进一步解除的背景下，美国媒体普遍认为，美国劳动力市场的恢复，并未跟上整体经济复苏的步伐，5月份的数据显示劳动力短缺问题开始浮现。
拜登的基建计划恐落空
美国总统拜登提出的以数十年来规模最大的基建计划，为美国经济注入活力的愿景，所面临的最大威胁可能不是获得国会通过的坎坷前路，而是工人、水泥厂等各种人力物力资源都严重短缺的局面。虽然立法需要经过数周或数月的谈判，但共和党和民主党均一致支持在未来几年向基础设施投入数千亿美元的新支出。然而，经济学家和业内人士却表示，有赖其修路搭桥、铺设水管、组装火车的公司，却尚未计划满足这些需求。这些公司面临着钢铁、水泥、劳动力供应等各类资源迫切短缺的窘境。这源于去年停摆后，经济突然重启带来了前所未有的困难。
从现货黄金周线图上看，上周金价虽然出现大幅回落，但在回踩MA5均线支撑后价格迅速反弹，暗示本轮低位反弹走势当中主要支撑价格的MA5均线仍有有效，虽然本周开盘价格有延续高位回落的迹象，但MA5均线仍在下方1875-1880区间位置，若能成功支撑金价，那么本周内价格还是有进一步延续走高的可能，上方重点留意1890-1900区间的反压。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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