王垣鑫：1790压力再次生效，现货黄金重回弱势？
本周初金价在1770-1790区间进行一段宽幅震荡后，在周中空头发力将价格拉低至1762一线位置，不过这个地方多头抵抗较为强烈价格迅速反弹收回下跌幅度。不过，昨日金价虽说在亚盘时段进一步延续低位反弹走势小幅拉升，但上方1790一线位置压力效果良好，金价承压后迅速回落并在晚间美盘时段大幅下挫，虽然金价破低后在下方1756一线受支撑后出现较大幅度反弹，但整体仍然收跌。
美国释放强劲内需
美国3月商品贸易逆差创下纪录高位，3月零售库存大幅下降。美国实施财政刺激，以及将新冠疫苗接种计划扩大至所有成年人，这推动美国经济在第二季初继续强劲增长，4月消费者信心升至14个月高位。这表明，在疫情压力有所缓解之际，被压抑的国内需求正在强劲释放。经济学家预计，商品贸易逆差将保持在高位至少到年底，因在疫苗接种计划扩大到所有美国成年人后，航空旅行和外出就餐等服务领域的需求将会复苏。
拜登继续推行刺激计划
美国经济正在迅速加快成长步伐，可能打击民主党一些温和派对拜登雄心勃勃经济计划的热情。拜登周三在首场国会联席演说中公布了1.8万亿美元的家庭和教育计划。这些新刺激计划加上先前的基建和就业计划总规模约为4万亿美元，可以与年度联邦预算相匹敌。拜登的全面计划不仅涉及传统基础设施和宽带接入，还将寻求通过应对气候变化和促进养老等社会服务来改变美国经济的进程。拜登将通过提高美国公司的税收来为他的计划买单。
从日线级别上看昨日金价虽然开盘后站上MA5均线上方，但无奈随后几乎整天时间都维持下跌过程，尽管收盘前价格出现较大幅度的反弹，但最终仍录得明显的阴线实体。目前MACD指标双线的死叉有开口迹象，而且日间价格反抽MA5亦有承压的迹象，或暗示短时间内MA5均线的压力重新生效，后市或将进一步延续走弱过程。
再看看四小时级别方面，昨日金价在破坏前方高位震荡回落走势之后重新起跌，虽然价格在创出近期新低点之后大幅反弹，但从整体形态来看价格反抽MA5压力均线附近位置后仍然受到来自MA5均线压力的压制，MACD指标双线重新发出死叉信号，或暗示短时间内金价有延续高位回落趋势的迹象，日内需继续留意MA5均线的压力效果。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
相关阅读
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.