熊傲君:两大央行纪要登场,金价能否再次爆发进入关键期!
关键词:两大央行纪要,现货黄金多头爆发
导语:过去一周,现货黄金继续保持高位,不过幅度和力度明显减慢,经过一段上行趋势后,目前进入了修正的局面,这在过去实际上也时常出现,但最终还是形成了上涨中继形态,后市继续突破前行,所以来到本周之后,能够突破加速也成为了近期黄金的节奏关键点。
本周需关注两大央行纪要
虽然今日周一的数据不多,且作用性不大,但是本周还是有两个重要的央行纪要值得关注。首先今日早间登场的日本央行纪要显示,本央行实施的措施的预期效果正在扩大。日本央行委员一致认为,由于采取了积极的财政和货币政策,全球金融市场的紧张局势已经得到缓解。部分委员认为市场开始平静,虽然仍旧处于紧张之中。
虽然情况显示还是比较乐观,但要恢复到年初还是需要时间,相比起欧美等国,亚洲的冲击整体还算可控,而明日,澳洲联储将公布7月货币政策会议纪要,澳洲联储主席洛威就“澳洲和全球经济近期形势”发表简要讲话,届时可以从中进一步找到线索,除此之外,本周的初请数据依然值得关注。
黄金连续三周高位盘整
在黄金成功突破1800新高以来,本周已经踏入了高位盘整的第三周,虽然多方非常强势,但似乎也不敢过于打开上方太大的空间,归根到底还是目前不稳定的因素偏多,疫情的持续爆发让黄金依然备受避险青睐,但由于疫苗即将进入关键时期,有望扭转目前的局面,也限制了多头的进一步发挥。
除此之外,一些关键经济数据似乎获得了复苏,让美元成功止跌,这也间接限制了黄金的发挥。尽管如此,目前黄金仍然有很多消息支撑,只是现阶段市场比较谨慎,不愿意再次太过于强烈地释放空间,当然具体还要持续关注,短期压力1815-1820区域是相当关键的多头关口,如果持续无法突破,短期出现修正也是正常的。
总结:进入本周后,其实同样不用过于紧张,大家可以先关注好目前的震荡区间,短期可以选择高抛低吸,或稳健观望,等待真正突破后再作顺势跟进不迟,特别是上方的突破,才能打开更大的空间。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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