熊傲君:美国创疫情新增纪录,市场忧虑情绪支持黄金
关键词:全球公共卫生事件,现货黄金上涨
导语:虽然目前全球经济活动都在逐渐恢复,但是二次疫情爆发还是出现了,尤其是美国和南美地区的每日剧烈新增,使得市场重新担忧起来,如果不能短时间控制,很可能面临再度大面积的经济封锁。受此影响下,昨日一度因强劲非农数据施压的金价,最终获得支撑而反弹。
美国疫情无法抑制
自美国短期重新打开经济大门后,就一直充满着争议,相比起其他国家,美国的控制措施实在不够严谨,加上之前的种族争议,使得疫情一直处于高峰,而近段时间更是进一步爆发,让人忧心。
美国周四新增新冠病例超过5.5万,创出全球新的单日最高纪录,美国总统特朗普则再次将其归因于美国检测工作。但美国37个州新增新冠病毒感染病例增加,这是最新的严峻迹象,表明一度被认为减弱的新冠疫情再次迅速蔓延。
非农利空难阻黄金
在疫情的影响下,市场似乎快速地消化了昨日非农数据的强劲表现,要知道已经是连续第二个月出现剧烈增长,理论上就业市场有改善的迹象。美国6月非农大增480万,高于250.9万的前值和305.8万的预期值,但市场认为,劳动力市场想成功复苏还有很多工作要做。
美国累计感染新冠人数接近274万人,且仍有逾2000万美国在截至6月27日当周领取了失业金,足以表明现在乐观还是为时尚早。加上此前美联储主席鲍威尔重申,美国经济前景不确定,讲维持宽松政策的环境,这毫无疑问对弈黄金还是一大收益。本周金价虽然未能冲击1800大关,但再次上行了一个台阶,多头力度依旧旺盛。
总结:本周的现货黄金实际上表现还是相对亮眼的,周初一度涨至1790一线稍下的位置,可见多头的力量还是占据优势,虽然还是未能冲击1800大关,但是现阶段疫情严峻等局面,美国经济要恢复恐怕需要很长的时间,所以在未来很可能还是会继续支撑金价走高。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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