熊傲君:英央行扩大宽松初请高于预期,黄金价格不为所动
关键词:现货黄金震荡修复,经济复苏困难
导语:本周的现货黄金波动幅度与上周形成了鲜明的对比,截止至今日亚盘,除了周一走出相对较大的幅度外,剩余时间里均整体保持高位震荡修正为主,虽然盘中也出现一些虚破,但最终均未能形成延续走势,目前多空陷入了激烈的争夺当中,预计需要观察更多的市场消息指导。
全球货币政策扩大宽松
本周虽然没有什么太重要的数据,但是却有三大央行的决议出炉,而昨晚的英国央行维持利率不变,但进一步施展的宽松的手段,资产购买规模扩大1000亿英镑至7450亿英镑,近期数据显示,英国经济复苏已于5月份开始,不过全球前景仍存在下行风险,包括新冠肺炎在新兴市场经济体的蔓延,以及发达经济体的感染率回升。
另外,昨晚美国也再次公布了上周初请数据的情况,也进一步表明目前经济复苏仍然比较困难,就业市场依旧略显疲态。美国截至6月13日当周初请失业金人数超出预期,由于第二波失业浪潮冲击行业,美国每周申请失业救济人数仍居高不下,美国经济要从疫情危机衰退中复苏,需要面临漫长而艰难的过程。,
现货黄金保持区间震荡
而与上一周大起大落的走势不同,现货黄金本周并没有太大的惊喜,而且空间变得越来越窄,暂时短期内失去了不少的信号,各项指标也是趋于调整,没有太大的指引帮助,但总体来说,在高位的区间震荡,代表下方的支撑依然顽强,回调的空间并不大,尽管目前多空消息都在互相博弈。
尽管近期疫情似乎有些好消息,地塞米松有效降低重症患者死亡率,不过全球的新增人数依然有些严峻,尤其是美国地区居高不下,所以起到的利空力量有限,后市还要关注全球经济活动复苏的具体情况和速度。而在利好方面,由于市场疫情反弹的担忧情绪以及美联储长期低利率甚至使用收益率曲线控制的预期,让黄金仍然备受市场青睐。
综上所述,目前现货黄金无论在消息面上,还是在技术面上都陷入了较为挣扎的阶段,多空都在不断博弈当中,因此导致了短期没有清晰的方向,不过后续的非农,货币政策以及疫情情况,都还将会持续对金价造成影响。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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