熊傲君：原油市场触底反弹，现货黄金多头东山再起！
关键词：原油走势，现货黄金上涨
导语：本周的金融市场走势情况逐渐恢复稳定，过去一段时间，持续表现低迷的油价，终于迎来了不错的回升，尽管要回到年初水平还是比较遥远，但我们已经看到各产油国行动的决心，而进入2020年后一直表现优异的现货黄金，近日再度爆发，似乎欲有再次突破年度高点的迹象。
原油喜获救命稻草
油价在持续下跌后，一度惨不忍睹，让市场也非常惊慌，不过近两周终于出现一些起色，主要是消息面的逐渐向好，例如沙特和俄罗斯再次达成协议，并承诺稳定原油市场，而其余产油国也纷纷采取行动，帮助油价逐渐重回正轨，未来随着经济活动的逐渐恢复，油价有望继续向上反弹。
国际能源署指出，全球炼油产量6月可能开始反弹，但由于产油国减产速度较预期快得多，拉抬原油价格，恐使炼油商利润率受到挤压。美国能源信息署(EIA)周三公布数据，截至5月8日当周，美国原油库存在历经15周连续增加后首次下降。一系列的利好消息让原油终于渡过苦日子。
金价多头舍我其谁
而本周，现货黄金的表现同样出色，在持续的高位宽幅震荡后，随着本周避险情绪的进一步加剧，黄金的多头开始再度爆发，现阶段离1750一线的位置也不算太远，下周有望再次挑战，虽然近期公共卫生事件有逐渐好转，但是美国情况仍然不佳，就业市场也一直低迷，所以市场依然担心。
为应对经济问题，如果利率将在更长时间内维持较低水平。在低利率环境中以及经济不确定性增加时，黄金的价格往往会走强。一旦美联储采取负利率，将进一步对金价造成利好。而技术面上，黄金保持震荡上行的趋势，各项指标逐渐修正后，有望后市提供大量的支撑，所以前景非常乐观。
总结：油价的反弹和金价的上行，意味着商品市场正在逐步稳定下来，但整个金融市场依然尚未完全恢复，这需要时间逐步修正，值得一提的是，未来经济活动进一步复苏的同时，各国的经济手段调整，也是影响走势的重要因素，投资者在下半年仍需要时刻谨慎关注。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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