王垣鑫：美国经济衰退失业率激增，现货黄金震荡静候非农
来到周中，现货黄金整体表现并未有太大变化，虽上周后半段时间金价反弹势头较为迅猛，但在重回1700美元/盎司整数关口上方后，多头已经明显放缓，并且本周价格多次承压于1715美元/盎司下方，MACD指标双线仍处于死叉过程当中，若说新一轮反弹已经开始，恐怕还为时尚早，短时间内金价主要围绕1700美元/盎司整数关口进行争夺，下方支撑位于1690美元/盎司一线附近。
克拉里看悲美国经济
美联储副主席克拉里在接受采访时，对美国经济表示悲观态度，称美国正经历最严峻的经济活动萎缩以及失业率的激增，正处于经济衰退之中。此外，美国的失业率恐怕会变得非常高，失业率将飙升到1940年以来的最高水平，劳动力市场的复苏需要时间。
美国目前正使用所有工具、利率、资产负债表、前瞻性指引以及借贷工具来支撑经济克拉里预计美国经济可能在今年下半年开始复苏。他认为确保经济尽可能地稳健反弹非常重要，一旦企业重启，人们回到经济岗位，经济就会开始反弹，但这需要一段时间。
周线均线艰难支撑金价
从周线级别来看，目前ma5支撑均线上移至价格下方，配合macd指标和kdj指标的金叉，多方趋势无疑占优，但从盘面上看，本周金价多次承压于1710-1715区间，虽然目前仍处于周线支撑均线上方，但途中多次虚破1700整数关口，最低一度触碰1690美元/盎司一线位置，后市周线支撑均线能否继续生效仍是未知数，鉴于非农周历史行情当中以震荡为主的例子并不少，建议暂时先放弃长线思路，继续关注1690-1715区间，待后市突破后再做打算。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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