王垣鑫:全球疫情趋于平稳,黄金涨势有所放缓
现货黄金上周1723美元/盎司一线开盘后震荡走低,仅头两天跌幅已达32美元,虽周四价格一度迅速反弹,并近乎收复周内失地,但价格未能成功站稳,转而进一步扩大跌幅,不过下方1660美元/盎司一线位置支撑效果良好,金价于收盘前成功回到1700整数关口。
本周将迎来美国非农数据
本周澳洲联储和英国央行将先后召开议息会议,多位美联储官员也将相继发表公开讲话,投资者还需关注疫情在全球的发展以及各国的举措。市场将迎来多国贸易帐,以及中国外储和社融等重磅数据,还有每月一度的美国非农就业报告,目前市场预计数据表现糟糕程度,将是史无前例。
美国许多商店和工厂因控制新型冠状病毒疫情的严格措施而关闭,美国3月非农就业岗位减少70.1万,结束了为期113个月的史上持续时间最长的就业增长,种种迹象证实美国经济已经陷入衰退。3月失业率飙升0.9个百分点,达到4.4%,这是自1975年1月以来最大的月度变化。另外,自3月21日以来,累计初请失业金人数增至3030万,相当于在短短一个多月的时间里,几乎每五名工人中就有一人失去工作。
风险偏好回暖黄金涨势放缓
过去一周全球新冠疫情趋于平稳,一些国家着手制定解除封锁、重启经济的计划,致使市场避险情绪有所回落,受此影响现货黄金涨势开始放缓,整周金价基本保持震荡回落走势,但需注意金价上周在短暂虚破ma5支撑均线后迅速回升,证实目前周线级别ma5均线支撑仍生效。
本周金价小幅低开于5周线附近,随后震荡走高,周线ma5支撑均线,即1695-1700区间成为本周多空双方主要争夺区间,目前周线均线簇仍呈多头排列,若本周能站稳1700整数关口,不排除后市进一步走高可能。另外,下方重点留意1660美元/盎司一线,短时间内跌破将形成双顶形态,后市有机会重返1580-1600区间。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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