熊傲君:现货黄金热度暂时降温,1600成多空胜负手
关键词:现货黄金走势,现货黄金行情
导语:在过去一周,现货黄金走势继续翻天覆地,此前由高位一周之内跌至1500下方,而上周又在短时间内回到1600上方,近期现货黄金的行情非常反复,波动也很大,在交易上机会虽然增多,但是风险也有所加大,接下来黄金的情况又该如何,短期暂时节奏减慢后,1600大关或者会成为重要的分水岭。
美元大幅回落黄金较为冷静
上周最为惊艳的不是黄金,而是美元,美元大跌过后已经回到了99下方,跌幅相当惊人,是10年来的最大跌幅,因各国政府和央行推出的数万亿美元刺激举措帮助缓和了由疫情引发的全球市场动荡,市场流动性资金恢复后,投资者也不再增持美元,一度也导致其他非美产品反弹。
虽然黄金周初也表现不错,但是后续终于开始恢复冷静,特别在周尾,尽管波动还是很大,不过总体维持1600一线震荡修复为主,即使后期因初请超级低迷的情况下,美元再次下杀,但是黄金也未能成功破高,总体仍是创下了自金融危机以来的最大周涨幅,接下来的低利率环境下,黄金能否借势继续上扬需要重点关注。
提防实物金需求开始降温
其实在流动性稀缺那段时间里,黄金实物已经开始大幅降温,加上疫情的关系,这种情况已经雪上加霜,但是随着刺激政策的出炉,黄金需求也一度重新上升,上周末,情况发生了变化。 6月合约的价格比4月合约高出近30美元,这表明交易商对实物黄金的需求目前已经消退。
实物金需求的降温,可能会让金价上行造成影响,毕竟今年虽然整体趋势利好,但是过程太过于反复,并不是稳定的局面,所以在看好多头的同时也要提防回调的空间。另外本周将是公布非农数据,由于上周的初请数据创下记录,目前市场普遍认为非农数据会表现不佳。
总结:现货黄金走势目前仍较为反复,投资者最好注意使用限价平台保障风险,未来一段时间这种局面仍会维持,在疫情好转之前都会大幅波动,尤其是经常特发传来的某条消息就足以干扰整个金融市场。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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