王垣鑫：1580持续压制金价，晚间留意恐怖数据指引
昨日早间现货黄金价格开盘价格自1565美元/盎司一线迅速走高，涨势一直持续至美盘前，据大田环球贵金属现货黄金盘面报价显示，金价最高一度触及1577美元/盎司一线位置，经过短时间调整后，价格于1571美元/盎司附近再度受支撑反弹并破高，但仍未能成功站上上方主要压力1580美元/盎司上方，今日早间金价位置高位震荡，现阶段现货黄金价格交投于1575美元/盎司一线。
CPI数据利好美元持续走高
昨日晚间美国公布1月未季调CPI数据，数据显示实际公布2.5%，预期2.4%，前值2.3%，为2018年10月以来的最高水平。同时美国1月未季调核心CPI年率实际公布2.3%，预期2.2%，前值2.3%。美国1月未季调CPI指数实际公布257.97，预期257.86，前值256.97，因家庭在租金和服装上指出增加，美国基本消费价格上涨，这一现象支持了美联储通胀率将逐步上升至2%的目标的观点。
尽管为了观测通胀，美联储可能更加关注核心PCE数据，但是CPI数据持续走高也在暗中表明美国通胀已经出现了逐步复苏的迹象，支持了市场对于美联储暂缓降息的预期，加上前段时间因非农数据强劲，导致市场将预计美联储2020年的降息时间从7月推迟至9月，这都对美元构成了支撑，美元指数持续反弹，目前已接近2019年高点位置。
现货黄金持续高位震荡
从日线级别上可以看到，现货黄金自1月份冲高至1600美元/盎司整数关口上方回落以来，一直维持高位宽幅震荡走势，虽然偶有冲高走势，但1580美元/盎司一线成为金价主要滞高点，目前macd指标持续走低，虽双线有金叉变盘的欲望，但价格上方已经临近1580美元/盎司一线关键压力，恐怕短时间内仍以价格能否突破关键压力为是否能打开新一轮多头趋势的重要参考标准。
另外由于前段时间金价自1590美元/盎司一线快速回落，两条大实体阴线形成断头铡，后市价格突破1580美元/盎司一线，并重新回到1590美元/盎司附近位置时或将收到压制，加之kdj指标走高，指标存在调整需求，加大了后市价格在1580-1590区间内反复的可能性，日内重点留意晚间美国零售销售数据指引，或将成为带动行情突破的关键因素。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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