王垣鑫:金价持续走高 提防周内回踩
2019年12月23日圣诞节当周金价大幅走高,据大田环球贵金属现货黄金盘面报价显示,上周国际现货黄金开于1477.5美元/盎司一线,整一周时间内基本没有明显的回踩过程,低点位于1477.2美元/盎司一线,整体以震荡走高为主,高点位于1515美元/盎司一线,直接收回左侧11月3日当周至今的跌幅,最终收于1512.4美元/盎司一线。
美元重挫跌破上升通道
上周五美元一度重挫逾0.6%,为10月份以来最大单日跌幅,本周一开盘后跌势延续,再度刷新两周低点,有分析称一方面由于投资者节后进行了仓位调整操作,出脱了此前增加的美元多头头寸,另一方面也因市场对即将进入大选年的美国经济及货币政策前景有着更多顾虑,导致美元出现大幅下跌。
此外美国总统特朗普一直抱怨美元汇率过高,在大选临近之际,市场预计特朗普将会向美联储施加更多压力以压低美元汇价,同时大选本身存在的不确定性也会令资金从美国市场有所外流,还有一些投资者仍担心美国对外贸易政策可能伤及其自身经济,这些情绪在节后逐一汇聚,也令美元意外遭到了强力抛售,目前美元指数已经跌破周线上升通道下轨支撑,后市或将打开进一步下跌空间。
现货黄金重回千五
与美元指数相对,现货黄金近期多头走势可谓声势浩大,在十二月份的时间里面金价并未出现明显跌幅,而价格向上突破并站稳周线ma5均线亦或在暗示金价多头已经提前到来,持续15周的回调过程或已结束。
但短时间内仍需留意周线均线支撑仍在1487美元/盎司一线位置,在没有回踩确认支撑的情况底下,本周价格高开对于黄金多头来讲或许并不是好事,日线kdj指标三线已经处于超买位置,需警惕随时可能到来的回调过程。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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