王垣鑫：美指冲高回落黄金趁机反击
本周现货黄金的走势可以用绝地反击来形容，在前半周美联储降息预期被打压，美元指数一路高歌猛进打压金价，现货黄金价格欲进一步试探前低1266美元/盎司一线支撑效果的情况下，金价却突然向上发力突破重重压制，完成一波探低回升走势回到了1280美元/盎司一线上方，当然这次的反弹也是受到了美元指数冲高回落的影响，总体而言，据大田环球贵金属现货黄金盘面报价显示，本周金价周六凌晨3点收盘于1284.3美元/盎司一线。
降息预期被打压美元狂欢
本周多位美联储官员发表了讲话，包括主席鲍威尔和副主席克拉里达，整体措辞并不鸽派，美联储周四凌晨公布的4月会议纪要显示，美联储官员在上次政策会议上一致认为，目前在制定货币政策时保持耐心的做法可能在一段时间内保持不变，表明决策者认为升息或降息的必要性并不大，进一步打压降息预期，前半周时间美元指数一路高歌猛进冲破前高压力。
经济数据走坏美指乐极生悲
但美元指数的高歌猛进在周四出现了转折，美国商务部周四报告显示4月新屋销售环比下降6.9%，经季节调整后年率为67.3万户，在连续三个月上涨后下滑；数据公司Markit报告显示，美国制造业采购经理人PMI指数从4月的52.6降至50.6，为2009年9月以来最低，周五公布的报告显示4月份资本品和耐用品订单减少2.1%，比市场预期的更差。受此影响，美元指数周四出现冲高回落走势，在会议纪要巩固坚守步伐为美指带来一波冲高后，之后多个数据走坏直接让美指收回其所带来的所有涨幅。
黄金转势仍需经历考验
现货黄金虽然目前从低位反弹，暂时告别了再度测试前低的风险，但现阶段黄金的阶段性回落除了受美元指数的打压之外，其本身周线级别方面亦是处于ma5均线的压制之下，本周低位反弹仍未能确认金价已经站稳ma5之上，因此下周料走势仍会在短时间内有所反复，以确认趋势的转换是否成功，可关注日线级别ma5支撑的有效性。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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