黄绍山:特雷莎•梅辞去首相位置
关键词:英国脱欧
大田环球据新闻得知,随着欧洲议会选举结束,特雷莎·梅宣布将会在6月7日辞去保守党领袖一职,这也就意味着同时辞去目前英国首相的职位,而新的首相人选将在在下周展开竞选。这位英国历史上第二位女首相在经历几年时间的脱欧抗争后,在最后哽咽的读完辞职声明后,没落的背影转身走向唐宁街10号,结束了自己的任职生涯。
脱欧前景依然黯淡
即使在特雷莎离职后,后续新上任的首相,首要的一个目标仍然也是脱欧协议的问题,那么在此就能够引申出几种解决脱欧办法,第一种就是最为糟糕,但是目前出现的概率越来越大的无协议脱欧,第二种则是重新与欧盟谈判脱欧协议,或在梅姨的脱欧基础上去谈判,但目前欧盟法是明确表示不会重新启动脱欧协议的谈判条件,再者时间上也未必能够有足够的时间去进行,那么很大的情况是在梅姨的脱欧协议当中去进行修改以及谈判双方的条件。
最后一种可能的情况则是对脱欧协议进行全民公投或者进行第二次的脱欧全民公投,而这一种情况个人认为出现的情况不太大,对脱欧协议进行全民公投可能还有可能性存在,但另外重新组织第二次公投时间上基本是完全不允许,假若全名公投通过留欧,那么情况整体还算可以,如果大选后仍旧是脱欧,那么大选后剩下的时间也就只能是无协议脱欧。
所以不管是哪位官员接任梅姨首相的位置,后续脱欧的路仍然是路途坎坷,同时英镑方面也是因为脱欧持续走弱,尽管英国经济前景有多好也无济于事,后续假若无协议脱欧的概率继续提升,相信英镑方面会更加的弱势,甚至是走回16年1.1479的低点位置上。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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