王垣鑫：黄金钝化上行关注日线ma5
现货黄金自上周五强势拉涨以来一直保持上涨形态，周线由于上周最后关头的拉涨，前一周的回落走势对金价所带来的不利影响已经在较大程度上消除，但后市周线级别上需要重新确立开启上行走势，需要金价重新站上ma5均线的上方，但到目前为止周线ma5均线仍位于价格之上，虽然目前日线形态上金价呈现低位反弹走势，一般情况下利于本周周线走高，但日线级别的kdj指标快线过高，日线进入钝化上行走势当中，后市上行空间不好把控，主要观察日线级别ma5的支撑有效性。
消息面方面，英国首相特雷莎·梅上周与欧盟达成的脱欧协议草案遭到多方反对，包括前“脱欧”事务大臣拉布在内的诸多议员提出数个方案，试图迫使首相下台、重启脱欧谈判。面对如此严峻的局面，雷莎·梅在18日接受天空电视台采访时称就算下台，脱欧也不会变得更容易，并提醒保守党党内批评者，首相换人只会推迟或阻碍脱欧，而且对她发起不信任投票所要求的48名议员人数还没达到。英国《金融时报》称，大约25名保守党议员公开表示，已向“1922委员会”递交了不信任动议函。此外，梅18日还在《太阳报》发表文章，称目前的草案满足了英国人民对于脱欧的要求，是唯一可行的方案，并保证英国不会陷入泥潭，而会与欧盟建立一种新型关系，迎来一个更加光明的未来。
从盘面上看，鉴于英国首相下台风波其实并不是最近才发生的，所以此消息并未明显引起市场避险情绪的升温，对于行情影响并不大，故而短时间内建议先关注日线级别的钝化上行走势，若本周周线收线能够重新站上ma5之上，则后市或将开启新一轮上行走势，若失败则仍需观察下周的k线情况。
周内剩余时间内，重点留意日线级别ma5支撑效果，此为日线钝化上行走势能否延续的关键，日线ma5可作为日内最佳买入点看待，今日上方重点留意1230-1232区间反压，多单不建议过夜，本轮日线钝化上行走势重点留意1232-1235区间反压。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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