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王垣鑫:黄金周内回调局面形成

近段时间现货黄金呈现出震荡上行的走势,虽然这走势在日内并不明显,但在周线上能清晰看出周线每周收盘价都在上移,但之前已经提醒过大家这种局面不会维持太久,若金价后市要继续上行,则短期内需要有回踩的出现,周线kdj指标快线上穿100,本周周线开线有乖离,亦暗示了周线的回调风险。

另外日线方面近期价格不断走高,但kdj指标三线却在不停走低,在以往的走势当中,这种情况的出现往往暗示着后市会出现一波回调,但这波回调并不意味着多头到此为止,下方暂时先关注1213一线的支撑,此为本波金价从1183上涨至1143的黄金分割线50%回撤位支撑,亦是我们所说的金价正常回调到位的位置,加之日线kdj指标已经走低,此处支撑生效可能性较大。

王垣鑫:黄金周内回调局面形成

基本面上日内主要留意晚间美国ADP数据的公布情况,但目前就业市场数据处于比较尴尬的局面,包括大非农在内,由于已经失去了对加息进程的炒作效果,均未能引发大幅度波动,因此不建议盲目追随数据方向操作,而近期市场焦点主要集中在下周的中期选举上,选举结果或直接影响美国总统特朗普的后半段任期,因此在此情况底下,非农要引发大幅度波动只会是难上加难。

在行情已经处于1220一线下方的情况下,日内个人思路保持低多,重点留意1213-1210区间支撑力度,若要追随回调趋势,则需留意4hma5的压力效果。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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