林幽沃：欧银决议来袭
关键词：欧盟，货币
在10月17日刚结束的欧盟峰会不能取得理想结果，无论是意大利预算案亦或是英国“脱欧”等议题都无法达成协议。在近日，意大利预算案更加陷入僵局，意大利当局扩大赤字的做法令欧盟不能接受并要求重新编写提交，但意大利领导层表现出强硬的立场不愿意重新编写，这种状况令整个欧盟重新陷入危机之中，欧元出现大跌的走势，市场对欧盟的信心逐渐下滑。
意大利预算案
欧盟委员会当日发布公告宣布这一决定。10月15日，今年6月上台的意大利现政府正式向欧盟提交2019年预算案，当中一反意大利前政府的承诺，决定将财政赤字占GDP比例提高至2.4%。对此欧盟委员会在公告中称，今年7月欧盟理事会通过的政策意见要求意大利进一步降低财政赤字占GDP比例，但意大利2019年预算案却“不降反升”，“蓄意严重背离”欧盟财政政策。
欧银货币政策
欧洲央行10月利率决议将重磅来袭，留意对意大利财政赤字预算问题的措词立场，以及英国脱欧对欧洲经济负面影响等问题。欧银行长德拉基曾在年内的新闻发布会上表示将逐渐退出宽松并且2019年有望进行加息的动作，但目前欧盟内部矛盾日益增大，导致整体发展受到严重的阻碍，货币政策能否继续正常化需要打一个大问好。
个人总结：
欧盟近期事件发生较多，目前在没有更多的资讯下只能继续观察，而毫无疑问的是在近段时间内欧盟无论是英国“脱欧”或各国的经济预算案都存在难以解决的问题，这也表明成员国与欧盟领导人的问题逐渐加大。最终能否解决，成为欧盟未来延续的关键。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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