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王垣鑫:美联储9月利率决议来袭

今日晚间凌晨2点美联储将公布9月利率决议结果,随后半小时美联储主席鲍威尔将发表新闻发布会,同时公布经济预期和加息点阵图,这将成为本日内最主要关注的事件,按以往的行情,在利率决议结果公布后的短时间内,现货黄金将出现大幅度波动,幅度能达到20美元以上,而随后鲍威尔的讲话公布经济预期,将对行情产生第二波影响,市场关注的焦点除了本次加息的结果之外,美联储的加息步伐也是焦点之一,因此鲍威尔的讲话或将对未来一段时间内的行情产生影响。

王垣鑫:美联储9月利率决议来袭

而关于加息结果的预期,根据点阵图的暗示,在2019年后美联储可能需要将利率提高至3.25%以上,在目前利率仍在1.75%-2%的情况底下,若今年只加息三次,在之后的时间里除非加快加息步伐,不然将落后于本次加息周期的目标,但这也违背了美联储“渐进加息”的中心思想。

因此大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫认为,在美国经济持续强劲的前提底下,今年加息4次为大概率事件,故而大加息周期9月无意外将看好美联储加息25个基点至2%-2.25%。

王垣鑫简介:

资深分析师,擅长中短线交易,独创“万变均线交易法”“据点战法”,交易中的机会主义者,单边行情有效捕捉率极高,操作胜率业界首屈一指。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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