熊傲君：土耳其“偏向虎山行”
关键词：土耳其危机，里拉暴跌
近几天，最火辣的问题便是土耳其里拉突发崩盘，出现经济危机，一旦蔓延着整个欧洲市场，连累了新兴市场货币，引发连锁效应，此举的原因在于土耳其被美国盯上了，惨被加大关税等一系列手段的制裁，市场反应非常迅速，再次把押注放在美国身上，周一土耳其里拉出现大幅度暴跌，而土耳其却还想以强硬方式对待。
美国制裁土耳其
牧师事件是本次危机的导火线，由于土耳其总体不肯释放牧师，遭到了美国的经济制裁，土耳其里拉本月为止已经下跌了近30%，受累于对土耳其总统埃尔多安在通胀上升情况下仍不愿升息的担忧，以及土耳其与美国之间的外交争端升级。
其实早在年初，里拉就有下跌的迹象，当时速度不算快，但是整体货币已经开始走弱，而这次就是爆发的契机，过去两年，由于地缘政治冲突加剧，国民经济疲弱，出现较为严重的通货膨胀，土耳其里拉一直处于贬值状态。
土耳其对美国反击
针对美国的制裁，土耳其总统埃尔多安并没有打算退让，反而态度相当强硬，可以说是雪上加霜，此前表示将继续采取必要措施反抗经济战争，据最新消息土耳其在官方公报上宣布，将对包括大米、汽车、酒精、煤炭和化妆品在内的进口产品征收额外关税。
该项由埃尔多安签署的法令显示，土耳其将自美国进口的乘用车关税提高了120%，酒精饮料关税提高140%，烟草提高了60%。很显然这样的举动或会进一步刺激特朗普的神经，一旦美国方再次加大制裁，土耳其恐陷入万劫不复之地。
熊傲君简介：
现任大田环球金业特约分析师，著名分析师，多次受邀汇通财经集团及中金在线等大型财经媒体採访报道。 擅长各种杠杆交易品种分析，熟知庄家博弈和市场心理，独创“LP（law and psychology）”交易方法。对时间节奏的把控和局部高低点捕捉极淮。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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