林幽沃：贸易纠纷中场休息？
关键词：特朗普，贸易，选举
美国总统特朗普与欧盟委员会主席容克在会晤中达成共识，避免欧美在贸易问题上爆发全面斗争。目前欧盟已经作出了让步，同意进口更多大豆，下调工业关税，并进口美国液化天然气，以求换取钢铝关税的取消。而特朗普方面则一改过往强硬立场，明显已经接受欧盟所作出的让步。
美国中期选举
根据美国宪法，美国总统选举每四年举行一次，国会选举每两年举行一次。其中一次国会选举与四年一度的总统选举同时举行，而另一次则在两届总统选举之间举行。在两次总统选举之间举行的国会选举，就是“中期选举”。
2018年11月将举行美国国会选举，本次选举是对美国总统在上任两年后的考试成绩表。如果当初支持特朗普的选民认为特朗普政绩不足以带来给给他们更好的生活，有可能会将选票给予其他党派。
特朗普安慰选民
在特朗普当初发动钢铝加征关税的措施时，各国都对美国农产品作出反制，其原因主要是特朗普的选民大部分来源于农民。那么，本次欧美达成协议，欧盟同意进口更多的大豆，作出的让步特朗普无疑欣然接受。在国会选举即将到来的情况下，特朗普可以通过该协议重新获得美国农民的信心。
贸易纠结不会结束
目前欧美虽然达成了协议，但该协议并未涉及至汽车行业，所以此前特朗普所提及到退出的汽车税有可能继续推行。官方数据显示，去年美国共进口830万辆汽车，其中来自墨西哥240万辆、加拿大180万辆、日本170万辆、德国50万辆。如果特朗普汽车税继续推出，贸易摩擦将会继续爆发。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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