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王垣鑫:现货黄金后市回踩还是破低?

现货黄金在上周周线收出长下影形态,在经历过从1360美元/盎司上方一路走低至1238美元/盎司一线后,终于有止跌迹象,不过止跌反弹形态是由左边的下跌走势加上一周长下影的触底反弹,最后配合下一周的上涨延续才能形成看止跌反弹的形态,因此是真止跌还是假止跌仍需看本周金价表现,但无奈本周金价表现依旧欠佳,在周一亚欧盘强势上涨10美元后,于1265美元/盎司一线再度陷入下跌地狱。

不过需要注意的是在经过三天的回落过程后,来到周五现货黄金价格仍在上周低点上方,并且日线macd指标仍在金叉过程当中,本周回落过程为大级别回踩做出双底形态的意图并不能完全排除。

王垣鑫:现货黄金后市回踩还是破低?

但在昨日试图往上突破1247-1248支撑压力转换区间失败后,无疑日内应以偏空思路对待,因此建议在本周内主要保持1247-1248区间下方的逢高沽空思路,重点关注今日收线结果,若今日收线为大实体阴线,则日线macd指标或将结束金叉过程,到时候将形成周内的看跌信号,纵使周内并未破前低,但后市破低将会是大概率事件;相反若今日欧美盘出现反弹,周线以十字星形态收盘,则下周将关注1238美元/盎司重要支撑及周线ma5重要反压,在此区间内高抛低吸等待方向突破,上破则将本周回落过程看作回踩动作,下破则后市继续看向1200整数关口一线。

 

 


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