熊傲君:贸易摩擦再起 美元强势拉升
关键字:中美贸易,美元指数
昨日美联储加息后,整体市场反应不大,欧央行随后的利率决议公布后,欧元利多出尽反身大跌,导致美元再次走高,目前甚至重归95一线上方,这同样令黄金续涨无果,尽管黄金一度非常抗跌并尝试冲高,由于价格仍在1300一线附近,所以只能继续以震荡对待,之所以出现这种情况,还有就是中美贸易摩擦的再度升温引发美元的强势。
欧央行大放鸽声
欧银鸽声大作,引欧系货币对跳水暴跌,黄金亦受到波及抹去日内大多涨幅。随后行长德拉基讲话中亦显露出更为鸽派的信号,他认为利率将维持在目前水平至少至2019年的夏季,对于具体时间点在言语上他做了淡化处理。
此举导致市场变得更加复杂,欧元昨天大跌的幅度惊为天人,而其余非美货币也出现小幅走低,本来正在冲高的黄金,后市续涨无力,日间再度回到1300下方,局势依旧迷茫,但加息之后,黄金似乎也难以进一步大跌,目前仍旧震荡区间。
中美贸易又生变数
昨日美国市场首先公布了一些了数据,均是强劲的表现,起到利多美元的作用,而更为关键的是美国与中国贸易态度或重回之前剑拔弩张的状态,虽然中国已经考虑愿意多进口美国700亿的商品以缓解两国巨大逆差,但美国仍旧表态需要更互惠且公正的贸易政策需求。
如果双方最终能达成默契,形成双赢局面那自然是最好不过,而作为全球最大两经济体贸易问题的缓和也会使得避险情绪降温。但中国也警告称如果美国选择加剧贸易问题,也做好了对抗的准备。倘若双方谈判陷入僵局,中美贸易局势必将重新成为焦点,大田环球熊傲君认为此举虽有避险的情绪给到金价,但是毕竟非长远之计,只有美元真正回落,黄金才有望得以快速稳定攀升。
熊傲君简介:
现任大田环球金业特约分析师,著名分析师,多次受邀汇通财经集团及中金在线等大型财经媒体採访报道。 擅长各种杠杆交易品种分析,熟知庄家博弈和市场心理,独创“LP(law and psychology)”交易方法。对时间节奏的把控和局部高低点捕捉极淮。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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