熊傲君:美联储决议+世界杯开幕
关键字:美联储决议,大田环球熊傲君
本周是超级周,除了昨日的特金双巨会面外,接下来的事件才是高潮,昨日的会谈对市场影响不大,相信也是正在等待今晚美联储利率决议的原因,而明天就是欧洲央行的利率决议,两大央行来袭恐再次引发市场大行情,另外最近较热的话题,四年一度的世界杯马上要在俄罗斯开幕,届时可能也会导致部分关注点转移,毕竟足球是全民运动!
美联储决议重磅登场
进入2018年,美联储维持加息节奏,今年已经首次加息,而今晚的利率决议加息已经悬念不大,很有可能进行第二次加息,年内将保持至少加息三次的步伐,现阶段市场已经开始表现得相当谨慎,而把关注点放在了到底能否加四次息的点上,以及随后美联储主席鲍威尔的发布会上。
目前来看,鲍威尔保持中性讲话的可能性较大,所以按照以往的加息的参考点,金价可能会借机再度爆发多头,加上今年炒作加息的预期节奏跟上年完全不同,需要谨慎注意下方的低点支撑,很可能不会再有太大的下行空间。
世界杯即将拉开帷幕
利率决议后,世界杯就要杀到,眼看体育盛事与经济不挂钩,实质不然,一方面体育与经济本来就有巨大的联系,其次市场的目光也会转移了一部分至世界杯,加上四年一届的赛事必然引起巨大关注,尽管本次宣扬推广力度不大,但足球毕竟是第一运动。
由6月14日开始将维持一个月的赛事,黄金方面的投资吸引力可能会短期下降,但也不代表价格一定会下跌,2006年先跌后升,2010年先升后跌,2014年微升,由此可见关联性不一定会太大,只是整体投资市场的欲望和谈论点会有所降低。不管如何,入市有风险,投资需谨慎,交易永远掌握在自己手里,不要怨天尤人。
熊傲君简介:
现任大田环球金业特约分析师,著名分析师,多次受邀汇通财经集团及中金在线等大型财经媒体採访报道。 擅长各种杠杆交易品种分析,熟知庄家博弈和市场心理,独创“LP(law and psychology)”交易方法。对时间节奏的把控和局部高低点捕捉极淮。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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