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林幽沃:美元主导行情 黄金缓慢下跌

现货黄金在下破1300大关后跌势意外放缓,昨日最低下行至1285美元/盎司后反弹,在持续三个交易日内都未能跌破1280一线令走势陷入纠结。目前现货黄金在1290一线附近持续盘整走势,震荡区间走势偏弱。

林幽沃:美元主导行情 黄金缓慢下跌

消息面:

1,欧盟领导人周四(5月17日)在欧盟峰会期间表示,他们将尽其所能保护该地区公司免受美国对伊朗制裁的负面影响。欧盟正计划取消美元支付,转而用欧元支付以购买伊朗的石油。

2,5月18日日本政府数据显示,日本4月核心CPI连续第二个月放缓,对日元造成一定打压。这显示出,日本几乎没有出现能达到2%通胀目标的势头。日本经济连续扩张几十年后,已经达到了峰值。

技术面:

林幽沃:美元主导行情 黄金缓慢下跌

从现货黄金4小时图上看,在确认破位1300关口后金价进入震荡下行走势,目前已经可以确立下跌通道的成立,重要压力区间位于1295-1300,在行情没有重新站上1300前都未能视为空头趋势结束。技术指标上存在反弹调整的需求,短期内行情可能依然会处于纠结的阶段,还需时间进行盘整。

大田环球贵金属林幽沃认为,在1300关口破位后跌势会加快的预期没有出现,但目前震荡下行的走势依然令空头得以延续。整体思路维持高空,日内压力关注1292附近,重要压力关注1295-1300区间。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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