林幽沃:美元独占龙头 黄金创年内新低
现货黄金在5月15日晚间跌破1300大关,创2018年最低点,最低下行至1288.8美元/盎司后反弹,没有出现破位后大幅快速下行的走势。当前,在美元重拾强势的背景下,现货黄金受到压力较大,在跌破1300重要水平线支撑后,有望进一步下探1280以及1250较早前期的支撑点位。
消息面:
1,美国30年期国债收益率势将创下三个半月来最大单日涨幅,该收益率最新报207%。美国10年期国债收益率上涨6.8个基点,刷新2011年7月份以来高位至3.063%。美国债券收益率持续攀升,资金不断抽离其余投资产品转入债市。
2,欧盟外长莫盖里尼指出,有关国家同意进行专家级别的工作来保护伊核协议。欧洲国家同意采取共同行动来挽救伊核协议,相关行动包括确保伊朗原油出口以及与伊朗的银行交易有效。
技术面:
从现货黄金日线图来看,以大实体跌破1300关口的情况下来看,日内只能选择反弹做空的举动,目前维稳于1290上方进行震荡,关注压力空间1296-1298附近。如在美盘前未能触碰该位置,则需要在1294-95择机空单进场,止损1300上方,短期看1280-85区间目标。
大田环球贵金属分析师林幽沃认为,在接近半年震荡的时间后黄金选择向下突破,在下方空间打开后仍然有继续深度回落的机会,后市中期主要看1250-60区间的支撑。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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