王垣鑫：后市仍存疑黄金需谨慎
上周国际现货黄金主要以低位反弹走势为主，据大田环球贵金属黄金盘面报价显示上周黄金于1315美元/盎司附近开盘，收于1320美元/盎司附近，周内最高上行至1325美元/盎司稍上，最低下探至1305美元/盎司稍下，周线录得带上下影线小实体阳线十字星形态。
大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫认为，上周现货黄金的反弹与此前因美元强势反弹相对应，虽说中东局势掀起的市场避险情绪对黄金起到一定的提振作用，但主要还是由于美元指数出现高位回落，让黄金多头有了喘息的机会。
另外，现货黄金虽在上周有了较为可观的反弹走势，但其可延续性也是后市我们需要关注的重点，可以发现上周末段交易时间内黄金承压的位置刚好位于周线ma5压力位附近，可以看到目前周线级别里面macd指标仍在死叉周期当中，种种情况表明，周线级别目前仍然偏弱。
上周出现底部的级别为1小时和4小时的短期底部，日线级别出现双底形态雏形，但仍未经过回踩确认的步骤，因此在周线级别目前仍然偏弱的环境底下，仍有下跌风险，因此本周初关注的第一个重点就是日线级别双底的回踩结果。
大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫建议，日内先以低多思路为主，因为目前仍在反弹走势当中，虽然小时级别当中有头肩顶的雏形，但颈线位置仍未突破成型，另外日线今日ma5及ma10均向上运行，这种情况下今日日线收线难以收破这两条均线，也就是说纵使最后结果可能是下破，但今日内1316美元/盎司一线仍有较大概率出现日内反弹，但切记目标过大。若本次日线级别回踩成功，后市则有机会重新回到周线级别大震荡区间上端，再度挑战1353,1365压力位，若回踩失败则短时间内1300整数关口将再次迎来挑战。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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