林幽沃:五月非农来袭,中美贸易战能否冲击美国就业?
五月非农来袭,中美贸易战能否冲击美国就业?
现货黄金在高位回落数日回到区间低位进行盘整,1300关口依然坚挺,在两次回落分别触碰1302以及1303后快速回升,当前行情出现双底走势。加之在非农前夕,现货黄金突破短期压力位置1310-1311区间向上攀升至1318附近,最终虽然涨幅没有扩大,但也提现出本次下行依然未能跌破1300大关。
中美贸易问题
近期市场炒作热点依然围绕着美国发动的中美贸易战,据消息称美国总统特使、财政部长姆努钦率美方代表团于5月3-4日访华。届时,中共中央政治局委员、国务院副总理刘鹤将与美方代表团就共同关心的中美经贸问题交换意见。
大田环球贵金属林幽沃表示,中美就贸易进行洽谈,有助降低市场避险情绪,但中美贸易战问题在双方没有达成任何协议前对市场影响较低。
五月非农操作思路
市场有部分人士认为中美贸易战可能会导致双方企业暂缓在对方区域进行扩大投资,美国就业市场可能会受到一定的影响,导致就业人数不及预期。
大田环球贵金属林幽沃认为,在公布数据前出现担忧就业市场的消息,也属于一种对数据的预期,加上在技术面,现货黄金迟迟未能把握时机跌破1300大关,以及突破短期压力的走势有偏多的迹象,晚间操作建议,1309附近试多,跌破1305止损,目标1315,1325。下破1300追空,止损1306,目标1290。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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