林幽沃：美联储鹰派不及预期，现货黄金空头止步1300大关
北京时间5月3日凌晨美联储发布议息会议声明，其中表示劳动力市场不断走强，市场经济整体一直以温和的脚步上行。鉴于近几个月以来就业整体增长强劲，失业率也长时间保持低位，通胀率在剔除食品与能源等项目后已经接近2%。但考虑到让通胀率上行压力逐渐加大，暂时维持利率在1.5%至1.75%区间。
美联储对加息态度谨慎
自2015年12月以来，美联储加息次数达到6次，现货黄金每逢遇到美联储加息就会显露出相对的疲弱势头。在过去6次的美联储加息前夕，现货黄金都会下跌30美元-50美元不等的幅度。而在加息落地后，都会出爆发性的反弹。
目前来看，由于在美联储利率决议前夕公布的核心PCE数据达到1.9%，非常接近美联储对通胀达到2%的要求。但在昨夜美联储利率决议最终决定公布维持利率不变，大田环球贵金属林幽沃认为发布的声明没有达到市场预期的鹰派，即不会将加息步伐提速。
黄金空头无力下行？
现货黄金在进入2018年后已经维持长达4个月在1300-1370区间震荡，本次下行依然保持在大区间范围内运行，能否跌破区间触发新一轮的单边行情成为现时的重要关注点。
大田环球贵金属林幽沃认为，本次下跌速度以及均线压制都配合得非常好，下破概率较之前都要大。但目前来看，现货黄金依然死守1300关口，导致空头趋势缓慢下来转变成震荡，后市投资者短期以1315-1320区间作为主要压力，如无法突破行情依然偏空对待。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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