王垣鑫：利空双管齐下，现货黄金下破1320
昨日国际现货黄金整体走势以延续下跌为主，据大田环球贵金属黄金盘面报价显示，昨日金价于1321.3美元/盎司一线开盘，晚间12点整收于1316.3美元/盎司，日内最高上行至1326.5美元/盎司一线，最低下探至1315.2美元/盎司一线，日线录得带长上影实体阴线。
日内亚盘及欧盘早段整体表现以震荡反弹为主，但当金价抵达1326美元/盎司日线ma5反压位置附近后直接承压回落，但由于日内4小时级别与1小时级别macd指标双线存在底背离形态，加之4小时级别ma5均线已经拐头往上形成支撑，据大田环球贵金属黄金盘面显示短时间内金价在回落至1321美元/盎司一线后再度上攻1326美元/盎司阻力位，但仍未能突破行情转换成1321-1326区间震荡，等待德拉基新闻发布会及美国耐用品订单数据指引。
大田环球贵金属分析师留意到在新闻发布会上，德拉基表示数据显示经济增长放缓，但仍稳定扩张，称其对通胀的信心没有改变，在今年余下时间，通胀可能徘徊在1.5%附近，另外QE将一直持续到管委会认为通胀路径持续向目标水平调整为止，虽然外部风险更突出，保护主义风险更明显，但下行风险大体是全球性的，欧元区增长风险大体平衡，认为汇率波动程度已有所减轻，欧洲央行将持续对汇率进行监测，但没有讨论汇率的波动性，大田环球贵金属分析师认为其整体言论偏鸽，未能对欧元起到有效的提振作用，亦间接对黄金构成利空，同时美国公布重磅数据3月耐用品订单月率初值为2.6%，大幅高于预期值的1.6%，利多美元利空黄金，两重利空双管齐下，黄金最终不堪重负跌破1320美元/盎司一线支撑。
现货黄金在经过昨天晚间的大幅下跌后，今日亚欧盘整体以横盘窄幅震荡为主，据大田环球贵金属黄金盘面报价显示，今日现货黄金高点为1318美元/盎司，低点为1315.4美元/盎司，震荡区间大致为1315-1318,1小时级别当中macd指标双线的底背离形态在经过昨天的下跌过程后，变成了三重底背离形态，从技术面上看，金价近期下跌走势并不健康，暗示后市继续追空恐有巨大风险，消息面上看，晚间美国公布第一季度GDP及PCE物价指数，均为重要数据，料欧盘将大概率以横盘走势继续调整，等待晚间数据指引。
大田环球分析师王垣鑫建议欧盘关注1315-1318区间，建议以高抛低吸操作为主，晚间若出现破低走势则重点关注下方1310美元/盎司一线支撑，若数据呈现利多影响提振金价，则上方重点关注日线级别ma5重要反压1321美元/盎司一线压力。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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