熊傲君：美元能量爆棚，金价何去何从？
2018.04.27黄金策略
昨日回顾：金价昨日果真出现大行情，不过并不是冲高反弹，而是受压维持弱势，在此前金价曾经测试1318一线支撑，不过随后呈现虚破反弹，昨日早间金价在1322一线徘徊，随后多次在1320上方站稳反弹，但始终无法突破1326-1327的强劲反压，欧盘也无法突破反而在尾段破低走弱，导致美盘继续呈现弱势的现象，并一举突破1320支撑，最低下探至1315趋势线的位置，走势已经十分低迷，现阶段价格维持在1316附近，仍有进一步回落的风险。
消息面：昨日有较为重磅的消息数据，首先是欧央行的利率决议以及德拉基的新闻发布会，欧洲央行公布利率决议，决定维持利率不变，因有迹象显示欧元区经济增长前景或许放缓，符合市场预期。欧洲央行行长德拉基表示，欧元区经济的“潜在力量”继续支撑欧洲央行的信心，尽管最近数周经济出现“温和”迹象。他补充表示，未来数月仍需要“充分的货币刺激”。昨日耐用品订单数据以及初请失业金数据非常强大，皆大幅利空黄金，晚间还有众多重磅的数据消息等待市场关注。
今日展望：金价再度破低，短期再次往下测试的可能性已经是非常大了，不过后市观点依旧不变，我们把预期时间调整一下，五月初回调结束后可以继续看多，后市目前依旧不变，时间延后即可。短线上例如日内，继续观察欧盘强弱定夺，由于昨日下破前低，按理来讲今日还是会偏弱一些，不过现在也很多指标接近临界点，晚间也有重磅数据，所以预估晚间若出现大跌后，会有马上的反弹修正以结束周线的收盘，所以今日的看法大概是探底回升，这个底在哪里要关注好时间节奏的变化。
从现货黄金4小时图看：金价目前维持下跌趋势，破低延续的局面，这算是比较明显的短期下行趋势了，所以从顺势交易的原则上应当先继续保持，再去考虑下方空间的支撑，日间注意上方1318-1320的顶底转换处，若继续承压午后将进一步下探，晚间或有望至1310一线甚至更低，所以今日要接多只能等到美盘后段或欧盘直接走强破亚盘高点，否则要等下周到位的状况。
操作建议： 1300上方的位置仍是长线多单的入手机会，今年目标依旧是1400上方，轻仓执行持有即可。短线今天建议关注1318-1320反压，昨日破位，此处是日内多空分水岭，若守住日内还有下行空间。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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