熊傲君：朝韩会面在即，金价能否握紧救命稻草？
2018.04.26黄金策略
昨日回顾：金价昨日总体表现为震荡下行，但幅度仍不算大，早间上攻1332无果后开始震荡下行，并重回1330下方，而随后的欧盘时段出现延续，并且破掉了1322的前低，但是破位时间接近美盘，这可能也影响到了美盘的下跌幅度，另外美盘阶段虽最低到位1318，但1318-1320区域支撑明显较强，加上美盘迟迟不延续，导致后市再跌的可能性较低，最终在1320上方位置收盘，整体幅度在10美元左右，虽破低但下跌无果，仍较为震荡走势，目前金价在1323附近，重点区域仍是1320-1326。
消息面：昨日基本没有重要的美国数据，不过美国10年期国债收益率昨日小幅走高，此前4年以来首次超过3%，使美元升至3个月高点，地缘政治风险退却和美元反弹重创金价。在朝鲜半岛和平谈判取得进展的迹象和美国的改善之际，黄金价格一直难以找到自己的立足点。今日即将迎来欧洲央行利率决议，市场对欧洲央行利率决议的预期偏向鸽派，但是随后德拉基的新闻发布会却极有可能给出积极的信号。另外晚间还需要关注美国的耐用品订单数据以及初请数据。
今日展望：由于昨日破低后无延续，并且有所反弹，因此导致金价仍没有成功突破下方区域展开空间，而令技术指标上昨日出现超卖迹象，亦存在背离的现象，所以今日的欧盘一旦能小幅走高，反弹可能将会继续保持，直至背离修复，现价段金价方向暂不明朗，激进可以前低作保护尝试多单，但暂时未可预测，稳健可等欧盘强弱再作定夺，今日关键位置在1326-27反压，欧盘若能站上此处，后市有望再冲1332，反之若今日再度回到1320下方，恐怕将真实形成有效破位，往1310一线靠近测试。
从现货黄金4小时图看：金价目前仍在1320上方，代表仍未有效破位，此处仍需等待，昨日的关键支撑1326-27被破位，今日将成为关键的多头突破口，现阶段均线组仍是叫弱，向下有压制力，不过MA5有所拐头，观察下午能否向上与MA10形成金叉，MACD指标有背离现象，但目前有略微钝化，可能还需要再等待一根K线确认，因此下午欧盘仍是主要定夺位。
操作建议： 1300-1320长线多单继续耐心持有，今年目标依旧是1400上方，加息已过，继续轻仓持有即可。短线今天建议关注1326-1327反压，昨日是支撑今天是反压，等待欧盘强弱判断周尾动态。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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