王垣鑫:黄金“自杀式”上攻后前路在何方?
昨日现货黄金整体以震荡上行走势为主,晚间一度扩大涨幅,最高一度上探1365美元/盎司一线,随后12点收线准时回落1350上方所有涨幅尽数收回,其实这也是基本能够遇见的情况,因为昨日4h级别kdj三线仍旧在超买区当中,行情属于4h级别的钝化上行走势,也就是阴涨,在这种行情当中,有两个比较显著的特点,就是每一条k线基本都会回调到本级别ma5附近,而且每一条k线的涨跌幅一般都比较小,但是在昨天晚上20点的4h线明显属于不正常的走法,远离了ma5但kdj仍旧超买,当新线一开回调在所难免,因此就有了今天我们看到的大阴线。
还有一点就是1h级别也出了问题,macd指标双线运行至高位死叉,这种情况一旦出现,其变盘后的死叉过程基本都能走出一个完整的周期出来,也就是起码维持半天,那么这一个死叉是从今天凌晨3点开始的,也就是说最近的变盘窗口在欧盘,一旦欧盘变盘不成功,则今天整天都看回调,因此早间1351空单需密切关注欧盘动态,一旦发现金价反正向上或macd变盘的苗头,建议择低先离场观望。
一旦欧盘变盘可尝试回踩1353附近反手做多,目标1356、1360,本周周线自1326一线起涨到1365幅度基本达到40美元,需注意周线一般的幅度在30美元左右,因此本周并不太看好能收在1360一线上方,因此多单需注意及时收手。
若欧盘没出现变盘迹象则继续持有空单,耐心等待金价回调至1347一线或日线ma5支撑处1343、1344附近再介入多单。在经过本轮上冲过程后,1337一线成为了后市多空分水岭,看多不可跌破此处。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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