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熊傲君:多头再次冲关,能否一举破震荡?

2018.04.11黄金策略

昨日回顾:昨日金价走势终于走出延续味道,首先在上周五非农数据后,金价多头小幅攀升,然后在周一开始呈现震荡反弹,但破高力度依旧缺乏,不过昨晚虽然不是单边直接拉涨,但是我们可以发现高点在不断的攀升,一举破位前期高点1336一线位置,并且后市站稳在1340上方,若保持这种延续走势,欧美盘有望再度走高,中午时段一举冲至1345一线,现阶段小幅回落,晚间将重点留意1340一线支撑。

消息面:昨日公布的PPI数据小幅利好美元,金价下跌无力,再次表明近段时间数据影响力反而有限,而是避险与美元为主的格局,不过今晚将有CPI数据的公布,凌晨将公布三月份的美联储货币纪要,届时可留意一下,不过预料对行情影响仍是有限。虽然中美贸易紧张局势大幅降温,但因市场担忧美国可能对叙利亚发动军事打击,美国和俄罗斯再次针锋相对,使得市场避险情绪未明显消退,金价连续第三日收涨。

今日展望:现阶段金价回到了1340上方,多头有望站稳,虽说本次上行仍有避险情绪的影响,但我们可以发现美元也是再度跌穿90关口,而非美货币的表现也是非常强劲,比如欧元以及英镑方面比黄金还要亮眼,我们有理由相信本次的上行有可能将会走得更加顺利。我曾经在4月初的时候说这个月是比较看好金价的一个月,不知道是否还能够继续验证这个观点。在短线上,今天的欧盘小幅破高,不过延续力一般,所以今晚的情况还是有可能像昨晚一样,震荡上行,空间再拉大五美元左右,所以晚上要留意一下1350-1355的平台。

熊傲君:多头再次冲关,能否一举破震荡?从现货黄金1小时图看:黄金目前正在阶梯式上行,暂非常稳定,这种节奏一旦加速将会展现强大的升势,另外近段时间的反复洗盘后的攀升,相信也可以给到多头更足够的动力,现阶段均线组呈现多头排列,指标形态皆利好,大级别走势也表现不错,若本周收线后保持强势,那么接下来多头春天恐怕真的到来了,切记中长线继续耐心,急不来,短线继续看着日内节奏。

操作建议: 1300-1320长线多单继续耐心持有,今年目标依旧是1400上方,加息已过,继续轻仓持有即可(本月有望到达)。短线今天建议关注1338-1340支撑,若美盘早段持续破高,后市有望冲至1350-1355一线。

 


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