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熊傲君:隔夜强势拉升,金价崛起战非农

2018.03.07黄金策略

昨日回顾:昨日金价早盘阶段波动不大,不过欧美时段精彩万分,金价多头大爆发,延续上周周尾的良好态势,在经历了周一的反复测试再回升后,昨日金价一直早1320一线徘徊,走势非常平淡,但进入欧盘中段开始发力,一举突破高点1327附近反压,随后美盘保持良好节奏二次续涨,最高涨至1338一线,多头终于发力,在非农前提前释放,不过拉涨后或短期陷入修正,另外非农在即,也要注意幅度与空间。

消息面:消息上,意大利大选后,市场避险情绪有所降温,不过金价依旧大涨,原因可能在于市场仍担心特朗普所引起的贸易战,另外美元再次跌破90支撑,朝鲜半岛的地缘政治不确定性得到缓解,韩国表示,朝鲜愿意与美国就弃核问题举行会谈,并将在谈判进行期间暂停核试验。这缓解了对黄金的避险需求,但未能抑制黄金需求,因美国政府的政治不确定性和对一场贸易战的持续担忧,使黄金价格升至近7天高点。

今日展望:金价昨日再次拉涨,自上周周尾开始筑底反弹后,本周得到了回应,并且再次突破前高,这对于多头是相当乐观的局面,当然现阶段前方1342一线的压力仍然很重要,多头想再次冲击1360甚至1400一线,那么此处必须要得到尽快的破位延续,否则仍有可能继续震荡走势,以等待非农过后再作定夺。不过目前肯定要以低多思路去对待,因为整体下方空间明显发现不大,利空消息正在逐步减退,后市的上升空间明显更为乐观。

熊傲君:隔夜强势拉升,金价崛起战非农从现货黄金4小时图看:金价强势拉高后,预料会有修正空间,需等待指标及均线的跟上,修正仍是低多为主,而且可继续尝试看大目标式的持有,现阶段均线组呈现多头排列,形态多于多头也俱佳,不过早间出现跳涨缺口,宜耐心等待欧盘强弱再作跟进,操作上建议关注1328-1330区域的支撑,届时再逢低介入多单较为稳健。

操作建议: 1300-1320长线多单拿着,今年目标依旧是1400上方,加息前若有回调依旧可以进场或补仓。加息前预料还会有一次探低机会,想跟进的不要再错过了。

熊傲君简介:

现任大田环球金业特约分析师,著名分析师,多次受邀汇通财经集团及中金在线等大型财经媒体采访报导。 擅长各种杠杆交易品种分析,熟知庄家博弈和市场心理,独创“LP(law and psychology)”交易方法。对时间节奏的把控和局部高低点捕捉极淮。


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