熊傲君:金价多头提早爆发,开启2018牛市?
近两周金价多头开始有所动作,自加息以来,金价低位1236附近上升到目前已近50美元,大有筑底之势,再加上时间已经到达年底,马上进入2018年,这意味着消息面上空方的依据要被消化的七七八八,接下来便是金价旺季第一季度,实物金需求加避险情绪的升温,以及加息的不确定性,新美联储主席的上任,新税改方案等等,更多的是利多的条件,因此很有可能本次上涨不一定会再有大回调机会,当然目前预计还会继续酝酿,因为前期盘了一个月,这里要涨估计也等盘整一下,1300以下仍有压力,关键在于下年的加速时机,会否直接在1月份破位1300将是关键,把握好多头节奏,下年或许是相当不错的上涨良机。
今日的多头走势依旧强大,昨天在欧洲仍在圣诞的期间,金价继续缓慢攀升,尽管力度不大,但是温和上涨的格局更稳定,因此连回调的机会都不给,今日同样如此,而且昨夜破位1280后站稳,今日的关键支撑就在1280上方,同样不能期待回调,一旦展开回调就要回到1270一线了,因此若今日欧盘继续走强,预料晚间有望直接测试1288-1290一线反压,当然幅度也需要注意好,因为很多指标出现临界位置,都有超买的指示,因此回调也的确有望随时出现,若错过最佳支撑位做多就已经上涨,那么依旧需要谨慎追单。
从现货黄金1小时图看,金价持续攀升,并且保持良好上涨趋势,日间持续走强,并有进一步破高的态势,现阶段短期均线组三线粘合,表明市场正在等待欧盘力度定日内节奏,有一点需要特别注意的是,刚刚提到的多项指标超买是一点,另外MACD指标也在高位形成顶背离,有望形成多重背离,这样的情况意味着指标确实需要在本周尾出现修正,不过周初继续跟进多头,周尾再去考虑修正,而且指标修正不代表价格一定大调,这点也是需要注意,日内操作建议继续逢低做多为主。
今日操作建议:
回撤1281附近做多,止损1276上方,目标1286-1290。
若欧盘直接破位,那么1281多单取消,欧盘破位1285回撤1283做多,目标1288-1290,止损1279下方。
初次触碰1290附近做空,止损1294上方,目标1285。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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